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COT Report Analysis · Commitment of Traders Signals · COT Index & Z-Score Extremes · Managed Money Positioning
Every week, institutional traders reveal their hand: hedge funds building exposure, commercials hedging against the trend, swap dealers offloading risk. The CFTC disaggregated COT report captures all of it, participant by participant, across every regulated market. Whether you trade with institutional conviction or fade crowded extremes, positioning structure tells you more than price alone ever will. COTInsight turns that intelligence into clear signals across 350+ markets.
Friday afternoon to a decision, in one view.
Institutional positioning across 350+ markets, ranked by signal strength. Sorted, scored, and ready.
| Market | Z | COT Idx | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|
Crude Oil (WTI) Energy | +2.20 | 100 | Extreme Long |
Natural Gas Energy | -1.69 | 10 | Building Short |
Euro FX (EUR/USD) FX | -1.64 | 9 | Building Short |
Copper Metals | +1.28 | 97 | Neutral |
Bitcoin Crypto | +1.07 | 92 | Building Long |
Gold Metals | +0.58 | 52 | Building Long |
S&P 500 Indices | +0.36 | 44 | Flip Zone |
10-Year Treasury Note Rates | +0.29 | 34 | Flip Zone |
| Z-range | N | 4W higher | 8W higher | 12W higher | 12W avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▶ z ≥ 2.0 (extreme long) | 33 | 46% | 58% | 48% | -3.9% |
| 1.5 ≤ z < 2.0 (strong long) | 63 | 43% | 43% | 40% | +4.2% |
| 0.5 ≤ z < 1.5 (mild long) | 187 | 54% | 52% | 55% | +3.3% |
| -0.5 ≤ z < 0.5 (neutral) | 207 | 59% | 58% | 56% | +4.7% |
| -1.5 ≤ z < -0.5 (mild short) | 224 | 50% | 49% | 47% | +0.2% |
| -2.0 ≤ z < -1.5 (strong short) | 95 | 54% | 62% | 56% | +2.9% |
| z < -2.0 (extreme short) | 59 | 42% | 39% | 51% | -3.8% |
No credit card · Full dashboard access for 7 days
COT Report analysis:the most underread signal in public markets.
The CFTC Disaggregated Commitment of Traders report separates the players who move markets from those who follow them. Managed Money, hedge funds and CTAs running systematic and discretionary strategies, on one side. Commercials with structural hedging needs, and the swap dealers who intermediate them, on the other. When a group reaches a historical extreme, the positioning structure is saying something. Trend followers look for institutional accumulation confirming a move. Contrarians look for the overcrowded side that's about to unwind. Both strategies start with the same data.
COTInsight turns that raw report into a decision surface across 350+ markets, energy, metals, grains, softs, livestock, FX, equity indices, rates and crypto, plus 19 EU contracts from ESMA's weekly position reports. Every instrument is scored on eight analytical layers, every week: a 52-week positioning z-score, a 3-year COT Index, an eight-state regime classifier, momentum and streak, open-interest trend, small-speculator extremes, the full participant breakdown, and category concentration showing which participant group dominates the book and what share of open interest it holds, with index-trader positions separated out on the 13 Supplemental agricultural markets. Where a price series exists, a ninth layer flags price-vs-positioning divergence. Ultimate adds the layers that turn a reading into a decision: historical outcome statistics showing how often price was actually higher after each z-score bucket, positioning structure showing whether the position sits in a few large hands or is spread wide, ranked against the contract's own history, plus how many speculators hold it wherever the CFTC discloses that count, options exposure showing how much of the read comes from the options leg, the forward curve, three Radars reading WTI, natural gas, gasoline and diesel against weekly EIA data, corn, soybeans and wheat against USDA's monthly WASDE balance sheet, and Dutch TTF gas against EU storage, the positioning cycle with what followed each phase on record, an AI analyst write-up of every flagged market, the TradingView indicator on your own chart, VS comparison and a REST API. Ten years of weekly history on Pro, twenty on Ultimate, recalibrated every Friday the moment the new report drops. The work that used to take hours of spreadsheets is already done when you open the dashboard. Learn how to read the COT report →
Guides to reading the CFTC Commitments of Traders report: z-score and COT Index normalisation and what the lookback window does to it, positioning regimes, price versus positioning divergence, crowded trades, index traders in the Supplemental report, the Friday release schedule, and measured studies of what actually follows a positioning extreme. Browse all articles.
Begin with the report itself: what the CFTC publishes, when it lands, and how to normalise it.
Regimes, divergence, crowding, and the failure modes that catch people out.
How positioning reads differently in currencies, energy, metals, softs, equity indices and crypto.
Measured studies from our own archive, with sample sizes.
How the COT tools compare, what the free routes leave out, and the parts of our own stack that go past the raw report.
Dated reads of specific episodes, kept for the record.
9 COT signals per instrument, per week.
Every market. Fully automated. What is a COT z-score? →
COT signals, directly on your charts.
Ultimate subscribers get the COTInsight indicator, an invite-only Pine Script that brings the full dashboard to any weekly TradingView chart. Z-score histogram, COT Index gauge, momentum & regime panel. 99 chart symbols auto-detected, covering 53 CFTC markets.
- ✓ Three stacked panels, Z-Score, COT Index, Momentum & Regime
- ✓ Divergence markers, streak counter, OI trend
- ✓ Futures, FX, indices, crypto, 99 symbols auto-mapped onto 53 CFTC markets
- ✓ Updated every Friday from the CFTC, the same release the dashboard reads
- ✓ Works on any TradingView plan, Free, Pro, or Premium
Z: +1.87
Distributing
−4 wks reducing · OI Contracting
Where the crowd is leaning, and where the physical market actually is.
Two lenses, one screen, in three families. The COT Index shows where large speculators sit inside their own multi-year range. Beside it sits the physical market that contract trades on: US energy inventories, the US grain balance sheet, or EU gas storage. Both stated plainly, with their samples. The judgment stays yours.
- ✓Four panels, 65 EIA series. Crude, gasoline, diesel, jet, heating oil, propane and gas storage in all five regions, each against its own 5-year seasonal band.
- ✓Cushing, days of supply, refinery runs, imports, exports and the product cracks against WTI.
- ✓EIA's own forecast revisions, Gulf storm watch and crude imports by country of origin.
- ✓And the forward curve beside it. Ultimate reads the full NYMEX term structure on WTI, Brent, gas and RBOB: contango, backwardation, and where the roll is building.
- ✓Four balance sheet lines per crop: stocks-to-use, US ending stocks, US exports and world ending stocks.
- ✓Monthly revisions, how each monthly outlook revised the one before, read against weekly positioning.
- ✓EU gas in storage against its 5-year band, the fill and the weekly net injection.
- ✓TTF positioning from ESMA's weekly Article 58 reports, the EU's counterpart to the CFTC report.
- ✓Gauge, band strip, seasonal chart. The read lands before the table.
Start with everything. Decide later.
Start free for seven days, no credit card. You get full dashboard access to COTInsight: all 350+ CFTC Commitment of Traders markets, 10 years of weekly positioning history, and eight analytical layers on every futures and options instrument: z-score extremes, COT Index, regime detection, momentum and streak, open-interest trend, small-speculator extremes, the participant breakdown and category concentration, plus price divergence on the markets with a price series. CSV export is included, though limited during the trial; the full CSV report for every market is available on Pro. The complete smart-money picture, the moment you log in.
Upgrade to Ultimate when you want the whole board: historical outcome statistics showing what this market has actually done from this reading over the next 4, 8 and 12 weeks, positioning structure revealing how many traders hold the position and how concentrated it is, so a crowded reading held by twenty hands never looks the same as one spread across two hundred, options exposure revealing how much of the headline number comes from the options leg, three Radars setting WTI, natural gas, gasoline and diesel positioning against weekly EIA data, corn, soybeans and wheat against USDA's WASDE, and Dutch TTF against EU gas storage, index-fund positions separated out of the agricultural commercial number, AI analyst insights on every flagged market, forward curve analysis reading the full term structure, contango, backwardation and where the roll is building, a futures-only view of pure positioning the way the desks read it, side-by-side VS instrument comparison, the full twenty-year archive, PDF reports, REST API access, and the exclusive COTInsight TradingView indicator on your charts. Pro shows you what the smart money is doing; Ultimate tells you what it means, where on the curve it's happening, and what usually happens next, it pays for itself the first time it keeps you on the right side of a turn.
- ✓ 350+ instruments from day one
- ✓ 10-year positioning history
- ✓ Eight analytical layers per instrument
- ✓CSV export (limited)
- ✓ No payment information required
- → Access ends after 7 days unless subscribed
- ✓All 350+ instruments, every week: CFTC Disaggregated and TFF, plus ICE Futures Europe
- ✓ 10-year positioning history
- ✓ Z-score, COT Index, regime, momentum
- ✓ OI trend, divergence, small-spec flags
- ✓ Participant breakdown and category concentration
- ✓ 19 EU contracts from ESMA (carbon, gas, power, freight)
- ✓ Heatmap, detail panel, participant charts
- ✓ Structured weekly CSV export
- ✕Not included on Pro
- ✕Historical Outcome Analyzer
- ✕AI analyst read
- ✕TradingView indicator
- ✕Radars
- ✕Positioning structure
- ✕Options exposure
- ✕Forward curve
- ✕VS comparison
- ✕Futures-only view
- ✕PDF briefing
- ✕Twenty-year archive
- ✕REST API
- ✓ Everything in Pro, on the same 350+ markets, with twenty years of depth on each
- ✓Historical Outcome Analyzer: what this market did last time, every comparable reading in its own record and what followed at 4, 8 and 12 weeks
- ✓Positioning structure: whether a crowded book sits in a few large hands or is spread wide, ranked against the contract's own history
- ✓ PDF briefing export
- ✓ Full historical archive, ZIP export (up to 20 years)
- ✓ Futures Only view, every market, options stripped out
- ✓ Options exposure: what share of open interest sits in options, and how far it moves the net read
- ✓ VS comparison, overlay any two instruments side by side
- ✓ Forward curve, live term structure for 19 futures markets
- ✓ REST API with personal key
- ✦AI analyst readevery market at an extreme, written up the moment the data lands
- 📈COTInsight TradingView indicatorthe read under the price action on your own chart
- ◎Radarsenergy, grains and TTF gas against their fundamentals
Commitment of Traders, Frequently Asked Questions
Options included: commodity markets (energy, metals, grains, softs, livestock) use the CFTC's futures-and-options-combined disaggregated report, so open interest and participant positions reflect the full picture including options. Financial markets (FX, equity indices, rates, crypto) use the futures-only report, which is what the CFTC publishes for those instruments.