Ultra Treasury Bond COT Report
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows how the largest traders are positioned in Ultra Treasury Bond futures each week. The CFTC splits open interest into speculators (managed money) and commercial hedgers, so you can see who is leaning which way. Tracking when Ultra Treasury Bond speculative positioning reaches an extreme, and how speculators line up against commercials, is one of the most widely followed sentiment tools in futures.
What drives Ultra Treasury Bond positioning
In interest-rate futures, dealers and real-money accounts manage duration while speculators express macro rate views, so Ultra Treasury Bond positioning is a key gauge of rate sentiment. The Ultra Treasury bond is the most rate-sensitive Treasury contract, driven by long-end duration, term premium and pension and insurance demand.
How to read the Ultra Treasury Bond COT report
For Ultra Treasury Bond, the 52-week z-score shows how far positioning sits from its one-year norm across dealers, asset managers and leveraged funds: high positive is crowded long, deeply negative crowded short. Use the positioning regime to tell a trending rate move from a stretched one. Ultra-bond positioning is a pure long-duration bet, so crowded extremes can amplify moves when the long end reprices. New to this? Start with how to read the COT report.
COTInsight scores Ultra Treasury Bond on nine analytical layers every week, the moment the CFTC data lands: the 52-week z-score, the 3-year COT Index, regime classification, price-versus-positioning divergence, open-interest trend and more, with up to ten years of history so you can see how today compares to every prior extreme.
Ultra Treasury Bond COT report FAQ
Which CFTC report covers Ultra Treasury Bond?
Ultra Treasury Bond positioning comes from the CFTC Traders in Financial Futures (TFF) report, which splits Ultra Treasury Bond positioning into Dealer/Intermediary, Asset Manager, Leveraged Funds and Other Reportables. COTInsight reads it directly from the CFTC every week.
When is the Ultra Treasury Bond COT report updated?
The CFTC releases the Commitments of Traders report every Friday at 3:30pm ET, reflecting positions as of the prior Tuesday. COTInsight recomputes the Ultra Treasury Bond z-score, COT Index and regime the moment the data lands.
Is Ultra Treasury Bond COT positioning bullish or bearish right now?
The COT report is a positioning and sentiment gauge, not a direct buy or sell signal: it shows whether speculators are crowded long or short in Ultra Treasury Bond. COTInsight scores this week's Ultra Treasury Bond reading on a 52-week z-score, a 3-year COT Index and a positioning regime. Start a free 7-day trial to see the current reading.
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